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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Stoke logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Stoke

Kaba (29')
Ralls (33'), Etete (42'), Sawyers (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Laurent (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-3 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Wigan
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Stoke City

Neil will feel that he needs a strong end to the season to keep his job at the bet365 Stadium and Stoke have the quality to prevail from this contest. However, Cardiff turned a corner in midweek, and the extra motivation may lead to them edging this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
25.89% (-0.177 -0.18) 26.51% (0.102 0.1) 47.6% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 48.16% (-0.432 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.11% (-0.487 -0.49)55.89% (0.49 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (-0.397 -0.4)77% (0.39999999999999 0.4)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96% (-0.418 -0.42)37.04% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17% (-0.419 -0.42)73.83% (0.422 0.42)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)23.5% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-0.252 -0.25)57.53% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 25.89%
    Stoke City 47.59%
    Draw 26.5%
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.89%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 12.6% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 9.13% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.41% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 47.59%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
Stoke City
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Souttar (39')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 15
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
gameweek 37
Cardiff
0-0
Stoke

Pack (56')

Allen (88')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 17
Stoke
1-2
Cardiff
Morrison (25' og.)
Smith (62'), McClean (73')
Glatzel (66'), Morrison (76')
Vaulks (24'), Ojo (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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