Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Salech (56')
Mannsverk (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Brannagan (79')
Placheta (40'), Helik (51'), Matos (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Cardiff
Friday, April 18 at 5.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Leeds
Friday, April 18 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Oxford United
52.94% ( 0.74)	25.65% ( -0.2)	21.41% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 45.97% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.61% (

0.2)

56.39% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.6% (

0.16)

77.4% (

-0.16)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.64% (

0.39)

21.36% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.67% (

0.6)

54.32% (

-0.6)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.46% (

-0.44)

41.54% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.96% (

-0.39)

78.04% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 52.93%

Oxford United 21.41%

Draw 25.65%

Cardiff City	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.93%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.16% Total : 21.41%