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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Oxford United

Cardiff
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Salech (56')
Mannsverk (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brannagan (79')
Placheta (40'), Helik (51'), Matos (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Cardiff
Friday, April 18 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Leeds
Friday, April 18 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Oxford United

Cardiff will be looking for an immediate reaction following the appointment of caretaker boss Ramsey, and we think that a home game against an Oxford side that have lost three of their last five away matches could prove to be the perfect opportunity for the Bluebirds to end their five-game winless run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawOxford United
52.94% (0.736 0.74) 25.65% (-0.2 -0.2) 21.41% (-0.535 -0.54)
Both teams to score 45.97% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.61% (0.199 0.2)56.39% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.6% (0.162 0.16)77.4% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (0.392 0.39)21.36% (-0.392 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67% (0.601 0.6)54.32% (-0.6 -0.6)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (-0.436 -0.44)41.54% (0.437 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (-0.386 -0.39)78.04% (0.386 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 52.93%
    Oxford United 21.41%
    Draw 25.65%
Cardiff CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 13.69% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.57% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.44% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 52.93%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.87% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 21.41%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Oxford Utd

Cardiff City
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Oxford United
28.6%
42
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Oxford Utd
3-2
Cardiff
Harris (41'), Brown (53'), Placheta (57')
Dembele (83')
Ashford (82'), Robinson (90+4')
Robertson (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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