Championship

Championship | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2025 at 8pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Leeds

Placheta (42'), Vaulks (59'), Helik (61'), Mills (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Solomon (33')
Gruev (62'), Bogle (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Preston
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 69.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.62%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Leeds United
11.69% ( 0.78)	19.16% ( 0.52)	69.15% ( -1.3)

Both teams to score 44.89% (

0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.15% (

-0.19)

46.85% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.9% (

-0.18)

69.1% (

0.18)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.26% (

1.3)

48.74% (

-1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.23% (

0.91)

83.77% (

-0.92)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.57% (

-0.42)

12.43% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.66% (

-0.88)

38.34% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 11.69%

Leeds United 69.14%

Draw 19.16%

Oxford United	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.51% Total : 11.69%	1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.62% Total : 19.16%	0-2 @ 13.16% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 9.15% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 4.77% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 1.99% ( -0.15) 1-5 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 69.14%