Championship Gameweek 43
Oxford Utd
Apr 18, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Kassam Stadium
Leeds
  • Przemyslaw Placheta 42' yellowcard
  • Will Vaulks 59' yellowcard
  • Michal Helik 61' yellowcard
  • Stanley Mills 84' yellowcard
  • goal Manor Solomon 33'
  • yellowcard Ilia Gruev 62'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 90'+2'

Oxford United vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
Sheff Weds 0 - 1 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Gregory Leigh

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 12.30pm
Leeds 2 - 1 Preston
Goals scored
95
Top scorer
Joel Piroe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 69.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.62%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Oxford United 11.69% ▲ (+0.78)
Draw 19.16% ▲ (+0.52)
Leeds United 69.15% ▼ (-1.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.89% ▲ (+0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.15% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 46.85% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 30.9% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 69.1% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 4.5 15.3% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 4.5 84.7% ▲ (+0.13)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 51.26% ▲ (+1.30)
Under 0.5 48.74% ▼ (-1.30)
Over 1.5 16.23% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 1.5 83.77% ▼ (-0.92)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 87.57% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 0.5 12.43% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 1.5 61.66% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 1.5 38.34% ▲ (+0.88)

Score analysis

Oxford United 11.69%
Draw 19.16%
Leeds United 69.14%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.20)
2-1 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.21)
2-0 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 11.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.26)
0-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 19.16%
Leeds United
0-2 @ 13.16% ▼ (-0.34)
0-1 @ 12.62% ▼ (-0.12)
1-2 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.39)
1-3 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.29)
1-4 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.08)
0-5 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.16)
1-5 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 69.14%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 22
Leeds
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Elland Road
Oxford Utd
  • Daniel James 9' goal
  • Daniel James 9' goal
  • Daniel James 9' goal
  • Daniel James 9' goal
  • Jayden Bogle 57' goal
  • Jayden Bogle 57' goal
  • Brenden Aaronson 67' goal
  • Manor Solomon 73' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Harris 27'
  • yellowcard Mark Harris 27'
  • yellowcard Mark Harris 27'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
Jul 24, 2019 7.45pm
Leeds
Pre-Season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
Jul 24, 2018 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 3 0
FT
Leeds
  • James Henry 7' goal
  • Robert Hall 26' goal
  • James Henry 43' goal
  • Jonathan Obika 61' goal
  • goal Tyler Roberts 54'
  • goal Lewis Baker 63'
  • goal Jack Clarke 71'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Leeds
Jul 29, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Oxford Utd
  • Kemar Roofe 35' goal
  • Stuart Dallas 84' goal
League Cup
Leeds
Aug 28, 2012 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Oxford Utd
  • Rodolph Austin 0' goal
  • Samuel Bryam 0' goal
  • Tom Lees 0' goal

Form Data

Sheff Weds 0 - 1 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 1 - 3 QPR
Oxford Utd 1 - 0 Sheff Utd
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 1 - 0 Watford
Hull City 2 - 1 Oxford Utd
Leeds 2 - 1 Preston
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Leeds
Luton 1 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 2 - 2 Swansea
QPR 2 - 2 Leeds
Leeds 2 - 0 Millwall