Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Elland Road
  • Jake Cooper 3' goal
  • Ao Tanaka 85' goal

Leeds United vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 12.00pm
Portsmouth 1 - 0 Leeds
Goals scored
95
Top scorer
Joel Piroe

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
Watford 1 - 2 Millwall
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mihailo Ivanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 71.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 9.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.59%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result

Leeds United 71.63% (-0.49)
Draw 18.43% (+0.43)
Millwall 9.94% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.26% (-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.62% (-1.58)
Under 2.5 48.38% (+1.58)
Over 3.5 29.48% (-1.47)
Under 3.5 70.52% (+1.47)
Over 4.5 14.31% (-1.02)
Under 4.5 85.68% (+1.02)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 87.82% (-0.59)
Under 0.5 12.18% (+0.59)
Over 1.5 62.19% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 37.81% (+1.25)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 46.98% (-0.88)
Under 0.5 53.02% (+0.88)
Over 1.5 13.34% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 86.66% (+0.57)

Score analysis

Leeds United 71.62%
Draw 18.43%
Millwall 9.94%
Leeds United
2-0 @ 14.31% (+0.29)
1-0 @ 13.59% (+0.58)
3-0 @ 10.04% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.19)
4-0 @ 5.29% (-0.15)
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.19)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.12)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 71.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.63% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 6.46% (+0.42)
2-2 @ 2.88% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 18.43%
Millwall
0-1 @ 4.1% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 2.74% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.3% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 9.94%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Feb 8, 2025 12.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Elland Road
  • Josuha Guilavogui 39' yellowcard
  • goal Femi Azeez 30'
  • goal Femi Azeez 55'
  • yellowcard Japhet Tanganga 86'
  • yellowcard Casper De Norre 90'
Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Japhet Tanganga 40' goal
  • Japhet Tanganga 57' yellowcard
  • George Honeyman 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 87'
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 17, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Elland Road
  • Willy Gnonto 18' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 29' yellowcard
  • Willy Gnonto 33' goal
  • Daniel James 79' goal
  • Ilia Gruev 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 18'
  • yellowcard Zian Flemming 25'
  • yellowcard Ryan Leonard 53'
  • yellowcard George Honeyman 60'
Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2023 12.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Den
  • goal Joel Piroe 15'
  • goal Joel Piroe 77'
  • goal Georginio Rutter 81'
Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Elland Road
  • Patrick Bamford 48' goal
  • Pablo Hernandez 62' goal
  • Pablo Hernandez 64' yellowcard
  • Patrick Bamford 66' goal
  • Patrick Bamford 94' yellowcard
  • goal Shaun Hutchinson 4'
  • goal Jed Wallace 23'
  • yellowcard Ryan Woods 26'
Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jed Wallace 16' goal
  • Tom Bradshaw 45' goal
  • Shane Ferguson 45' yellowcard
  • Jayson Molumby 50' yellowcard
  • Murray Wallace 74' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Bialkowski 82' yellowcard
  • redcard Gaetano Berardi 14'
  • goal Ezgjan Alioski 46'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 59'