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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Millwall logo

Leeds
2 - 0
Millwall

Cooper (3' og.), Tanaka (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 71.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 9.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.59%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
71.63% (-0.483 -0.48)18.43% (0.421 0.42)9.94% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 41.26% (-1.049 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (-1.579 -1.58)48.38% (1.58 1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (-1.46 -1.46)70.52% (1.461 1.46)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82% (-0.583 -0.58)12.18% (0.584 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.19% (-1.244 -1.24)37.81% (1.245 1.25)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.98% (-0.877 -0.88)53.02% (0.877 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.34% (-0.564 -0.56)86.66% (0.56399999999999 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 71.62%
    Millwall 9.94%
    Draw 18.43%
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
2-0 @ 14.31% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 13.59% (0.57 0.57)
3-0 @ 10.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-0 @ 5.29% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.18 -0.18)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 71.62%
1-1 @ 8.63% (0.144 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.411 0.41)
2-2 @ 2.88% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 18.43%
0-1 @ 4.1% (0.159 0.16)
1-2 @ 2.74% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.3% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 9.94%

How you voted: Leeds vs Millwall

Leeds United
81.7%
Draw
10.0%
Millwall
8.3%
60
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2025 12.15pm
Fourth Round
Leeds
0-2
Millwall

Guilavogui (39')
Azeez (30', 55')
Tanganga (86'), De Norre (90')
Nov 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Millwall
1-0
Leeds
Tanganga (40')
Tanganga (57'), Honeyman (64')

Firpo (87')
Mar 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Leeds
2-0
Millwall
Gnonto (33'), James (79')
Gnonto (18'), Firpo (29'), Gruev (90+2')

Cooper (18'), Flemming (25'), Leonard (53'), Honeyman (60')
Sep 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-3
Leeds
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')