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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Watford had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Leeds United |
| 19.06% ( | 23.68% ( | 57.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.3% ( | 51.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.53% ( | 73.47% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.62% ( | 41.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.11% ( | 77.89% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( | 17.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.4% ( | 48.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 6.52% ( 2-1 @ 4.96% ( 2-0 @ 2.88% ( 3-1 @ 1.46% ( 3-2 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2% Total : 19.06% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0-0 @ 7.38% ( 2-2 @ 4.27% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.68% | 0-1 @ 12.72% ( 0-2 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0-3 @ 6.3% ( 1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0-4 @ 2.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 1-4 @ 2.4% ( 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0-5 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 57.25% |