/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fleelog.png)
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Daniel James
20'
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Daniel James
28'
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Manor Solomon
35'
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Joel Piroe
62'
Watford vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F01%2Fdaniel-farke.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Watford had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result
Watford
19.06%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
23.68%
▲
(+0.01)
Leeds United
57.26%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
48.16%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.3%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
51.7%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
26.53%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
73.47%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
12.34%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
87.66%
▲
(+0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
58.62%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
41.38%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
22.11%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
77.89%
▲
(+0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5
82.15%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
17.85%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
51.4%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
48.6%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Watford
19.06%
Draw
23.68%
Leeds United
57.25%
Watford
1-0
@
6.52%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 19.06%
2-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 19.06%
Draw
1-1
@
11.23%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.68%
0-0 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.68%
Leeds United
0-1
@
12.72%
▲
(+0.01)
0-2 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 57.25%
0-2 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 57.25%
