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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Coventry City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Watford |
| 59.06% ( | 21.63% ( | 19.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.22% ( | 42.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.82% ( | 65.17% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.85% ( | 14.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.19% ( | 41.8% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% ( | 35.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.3% ( | 72.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Watford |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 3-0 @ 6.34% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 4-0 @ 3.1% ( 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 5-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 59.06% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.3% |