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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Watford logo

Coventry
2 - 1
Watford

Torp (32', 32', 75')
Torp (51'), Rudoni (87'), Kitching (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kitching (82' og.)
Kayembe (21'), Kayembe (21'), Morris (52'), Larouci (65'), Sissoko (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Coventry
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Preston
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Coventry City in this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawWatford
59.06% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)21.63% (0.332 0.33)19.3% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 55.01% (-0.91 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22% (-1.312 -1.31)42.77% (1.309 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82% (-1.316 -1.32)65.17% (1.312 1.31)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.85% (-0.571 -0.57)14.14% (0.569 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.19% (-1.128 -1.13)41.8% (1.125 1.13)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.07% (-0.629 -0.63)35.92% (0.626 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (-0.649 -0.65)72.7% (0.64699999999999 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 59.06%
    Watford 19.3%
    Draw 21.63%
Coventry CityDrawWatford
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 9.72% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 6.34% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.098 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 59.06%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.207 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.08% (0.289 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.63%
1-2 @ 5.21% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.212 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 19.3%

How you voted: Coventry vs Watford

Coventry City
67.5%
Draw
5.0%
Watford
27.5%
40
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Watford
1-1
Coventry
Dele-Bashiru (67')
Pollock (38'), Porteous (90+12')
Simms (4')
Torp (44'), Latibeaudiere (45')
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
1-2
Coventry
Porteous (20')
Hoedt (26')
Wright (40' pen., 72')
Kelly (19'), Palmer (23'), Bidwell (45+1'), Thomas (66'), Wright (88')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Coventry
3-3
Watford
Van Ewijk (41'), Hoedt (64' og.), Godden (87')
Eccles (24'), McFadzean (60'), Sheaf (76')
Rajovic (35', 79'), Martins (52')
Porteous (30'), Sierralta (40'), Hoedt (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Coventry
2-2
Watford
Godden (58'), Sheaf (72')
Pedro (6'), Louza (45+1')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Watford
0-1
Coventry
Gyokeres (50')