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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 53.78% ( | 24.98% ( | 21.24% |
| Both teams to score 47.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.9% ( | 54.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.48% ( | 75.51% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( | 20.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.67% ( | 52.33% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.6% ( | 40.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.98% ( | 77.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 13.02% ( 2-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 53.77% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 2-2 @ 4.29% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.24% |