Championship

Championship | Gameweek 22

Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
2 - 1
Watford

Anthony (9'), Brownhill (62')
Laurent (49'), Egan Riley (64'), Trafford (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Baah (80')
Ngakia (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 1-2 Burnley
Sunday, December 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 2-1 West Brom
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Watford
47.23% ( 0.22)	24.79% ( -0.04)	27.98% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 55.05% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.32% (

0.04)

47.68% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.13% (

0.04)

69.88% (

-0.04)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.76% (

0.11)

20.25% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.42% (

0.17)

52.58% (

-0.17)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.03% (

-0.11)

30.97% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.73% (

-0.13)

67.28% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Burnley 47.22%

Watford 27.98%

Draw 24.78%

Burnley	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 47.22%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.78%	0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 27.98%