Championship

Championship | Gameweek 15

Nov 8, 2024 at 8pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Issouf Bayo (54')
Porteous (34'), Baah (38'), Ebosele (62'), Issouf Bayo (75'), Morris (90+3'), Cleverley (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McEachran (45+1'), Moore (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Watford
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Hull City
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
Watford	Draw	Oxford United
53.8% ( -0.07)	23.82% ( 0.03)	22.38% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 52.55% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.68% (

-0.08)

48.31% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.54% (

-0.07)

70.46% (

0.07)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12% (

-0.05)

17.87% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.35% (

-0.09)

48.65% (

0.09)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.98% (

-0.01)

36.01% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.2% (

-0.01)

72.79% (

Score Analysis

Watford 53.79%

Oxford United 22.38%

Draw 23.81%

Watford	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.79%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.81%	0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 22.38%