Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.