Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
2 - 1
Watford

Ramazani (4'), Aaronson (7')
Tanaka (38'), Firpo (59')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Baah (47')
Ebosele (35'), Cleverley (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Sheff Utd
Friday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Luton 3-0 Watford
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 14.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Watford
66.94% ( -0.08)	18.81% ( -0.01)	14.25% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 53.65% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.84% (

0.26)

39.16% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.52% (

0.27)

61.48% (

-0.27)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.18% (

0.05)

10.81% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.13% (

0.11)

34.87% (

-0.11)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.16% (

0.29)

39.84% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.5% (

0.27)

76.5% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 66.93%

Watford 14.25%

Draw 18.81%

Leeds United	Draw	Watford
2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.32% Total : 66.93%	1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.81%	1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 14.25%