/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fleelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
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Largie Ramazani
4'
-
Brenden Aaronson
7'
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Ao Tanaka
38'
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Junior Firpo
59'
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Festy Ebosele
35'
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Tom Cleverley
36'
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Kwadwo Baah
47'
Leeds United vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F42%2Fao-tanaka.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result
Leeds United
66.94%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
18.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Watford
14.25%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
53.65%
▲
(+0.30)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.84%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 2.5
39.16%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 3.5
38.52%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 3.5
61.48%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 4.5
20.96%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 4.5
79.04%
▼
(-0.22)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5
89.18%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
10.81%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
65.13%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 1.5
34.87%
▼
(-0.12)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
60.16%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 0.5
39.84%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 1.5
23.5%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 1.5
76.5%
▼
(-0.28)
Score analysis
Leeds United
66.93%
Draw
18.81%
Watford
14.25%
Leeds United
2-0
@
10.65%
▼
(-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 66.93%
2-1 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 66.93%
Draw
1-1
@
8.82%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.81%
2-2 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.81%
Watford
1-2
@
4.06%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 14.25%
0-1 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 14.25%