Championship

Championship | Gameweek 9

Oct 4, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
2 - 2
Leeds

Rigg (9'), Firpo (90+7' og.)
Bellingham (46'), Neill (61'), Rigg (65')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Piroe (22'), Firpo (56')
Rodon (39'), Firpo (68'), Bogle (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Derby
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Leeds
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Leeds United
24.58% ( 0.67)	24.03% ( 0.52)	51.39% ( -1.2)

Both teams to score 54.46% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.98% (

-1.6)

47.02% (

1.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.73% (

-1.52)

69.26% (

1.51)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.67% (

-0.3)

33.33% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.05% (

-0.33)

69.95% (

0.32)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.69% (

-1.05)

18.3% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.61% (

-1.81)

49.38% (

1.8)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 24.58%

Leeds United 51.38%

Draw 24.03%

Sunderland	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.58%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.03%	0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.38%