Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
0 - 1
Burnley

Firpo (34'), Gnonto (52'), Ampadu (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Koleosho (18')
Mejbri (38'), Anthony (45'), Worrall (45+2'), Humphreys (66'), (90+8'), Massengo (90+6')
Humphreys (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Burnley
67.34% ( 0.83)	18.37% ( -0.29)	14.29% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 55.43% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.08% (

0.13)

36.92% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.9% (

0.14)

59.1% (

-0.14)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.91% (

0.24)

10.09% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.76% (

0.55)

33.24% (

-0.55)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.65% (

-0.65)

38.35% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.9% (

-0.63)

75.1% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 67.33%

Burnley 14.29%

Draw 18.37%

Leeds United	Draw	Burnley
2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.99% Total : 67.33%	1-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.37%	1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.93% Total : 14.29%