Championship

Championship | Gameweek 2

Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
5 - 0
Cardiff

Horvath (9' og.), Koleosho (31'), Brownhill (51'), Amdouni (88'), Berg Gudmundsson (90+2')
Foster (42'), Esteve (59')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ramsey (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Luton 1-4 Burnley
Monday, August 12 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Cardiff City
31.3% ( -1.66)	24.55% ( -0)	44.15% ( 1.67)

Both teams to score 57.88% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.12% (

-0.59)

44.88% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.77% (

-0.56)

67.23% (

0.57)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.75% (

-1.32)

27.25% (

1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.32% (

-1.75)

62.68% (

1.75)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.57% (

0.51)

20.43% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.12% (

0.8)

52.88% (

-0.79)

Score Analysis

Burnley 31.3%

Cardiff City 44.15%

Draw 24.54%

Burnley	Draw	Cardiff City
2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.3%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.54%	1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 44.15%