/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcarlog.png)
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Ethan Horvath
9'
-
Luca Koleosho
31'
-
Lyle Foster
42'
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Josh Brownhill
51'
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Maxime Esteve
59'
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Zeki Amdouni
88'
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Johann Berg Gudmundsson
90'+2'
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Aaron Ramsey
42'
Burnley vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Burnley
31.3%
▼
(-1.66)
Draw
24.55%
▼
(-0.01)
Cardiff City
44.15%
▲
(+1.67)
Both Teams to Score:
57.88%
▼
(-0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.12%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 2.5
44.88%
▲
(+0.60)
Over 3.5
32.77%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 3.5
67.23%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 4.5
16.63%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 4.5
83.37%
▲
(+0.42)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
72.75%
▼
(-1.32)
Under 0.5
27.25%
▲
(+1.33)
Over 1.5
37.32%
▼
(-1.75)
Under 1.5
62.68%
▲
(+1.76)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5
79.57%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 0.5
20.43%
▼
(-0.51)
Over 1.5
47.12%
▲
(+0.80)
Under 1.5
52.88%
▼
(-0.80)
Score analysis
Burnley
31.3%
Draw
24.54%
Cardiff City
44.15%
Burnley
2-1
@
7.47%
▼
(-0.27)
1-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.19)
4-1 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.3%
1-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.19)
4-1 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.3%
Draw
1-1
@
11.49%
▲
(+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.54%
2-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.54%
Cardiff City
1-2
@
9.13%
▲
(+0.17)
0-1 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.36)
0-2 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.39)
1-3 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.26)
2-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.10)
0-4 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.13)
2-4 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 44.15%
0-1 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.36)
0-2 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.39)
1-3 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.26)
2-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.10)
0-4 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.13)
2-4 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 44.15%