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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnewlog.png)
-
Maxime Esteve
37'
-
Josh Brownhill
51'
-
Dara O'Shea
86'
-
Callum Wilson
18'
-
Callum Wilson
19'
-
Sean Longstaff
35'
-
Bruno Guimaraes
40'
-
Alexander Isak
55'
-
Elliot Anderson
72'
Burnley vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F05%2Fdavid-fofana.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.66%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result
Burnley
36.34%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
23.36%
▼
(-0.08)
Newcastle United
40.3%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
63.82%
▲
(+0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.22%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 2.5
37.78%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 3.5
39.98%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 3.5
60.02%
▼
(-0.39)
Over 4.5
22.12%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 4.5
77.88%
▼
(-0.31)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
78.96%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
21.04%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
46.16%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
53.84%
▼
(-0.24)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
80.83%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 0.5
19.17%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 1.5
49.16%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 1.5
50.84%
▼
(-0.33)
Score analysis
Burnley
36.34%
Draw
23.35%
Newcastle United
40.3%
Burnley
2-1
@
8.09%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 36.34%
1-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 36.34%
Draw
1-1
@
10.38%
▼
(-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.35%
2-2 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.35%
Newcastle United
1-2
@
8.58%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 40.3%
0-1 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 40.3%
Head to Head
-
Miguel Almiron
14'
-
Miguel Almiron
14'
-
Miguel Almiron
14'
-
Anthony Gordon
17'
-
Anthony Gordon
18'
-
Anthony Gordon
18'
-
Alexander Isak
76'
-
Zeki Amdouni
29'
-
Zeki Amdouni
29'
-
Jordan Beyer
40'
-
Jordan Beyer
40'
-
Charlie Taylor
53'
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F17%2Feddie-howe.jpg)