Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 77.37%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 9.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.94%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Sheffield United |
| 77.37% ( | 13.49% ( | 9.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.12% ( | 26.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.67% ( | 47.33% ( |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.38% ( | 5.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.19% ( | 21.81% ( |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.26% ( | 39.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.59% ( | 76.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Sheffield United |
| 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 3-0 @ 8.88% ( 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 3-1 @ 8.2% ( 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 4-0 @ 6.39% ( 4-1 @ 5.9% ( 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 5-0 @ 3.68% ( 5-1 @ 3.39% ( 4-2 @ 2.72% ( 6-0 @ 1.76% ( 6-1 @ 1.63% ( 5-2 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 5.25% Total : 77.37% | 1-1 @ 5.94% ( 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0-0 @ 2.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 13.49% | 1-2 @ 2.74% ( 0-1 @ 2.06% ( 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 9.14% |