Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 22.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.78%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | West Ham United |
| 56.72% ( | 21.13% ( | 22.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.55% ( | 36.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.41% ( | 58.59% ( |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.22% ( | 12.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.92% ( | 39.08% ( |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( | 29.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( | 65.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 2-0 @ 8% ( 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 4-1 @ 3.44% ( 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 5-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 4.03% Total : 56.72% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.13% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 22.15% |