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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St. James' Park
West Ham logo

Newcastle
4 - 3
West Ham

Isak (6' pen., 77' pen.), Barnes (83', 90')
Gordon (80'), Isak (90+1'), Isak (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Antonio (21'), Kudus (45+9'), Bowen (48')
Soucek (40'), Moyes (41'), Moyes (80')

The Match

Match Report

Harvey Barnes scores a late brace to inspire Newcastle United to a dramatic 4-3 win over West Ham United at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 22.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.78%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawWest Ham United
56.72% (0.11 0.11)21.13% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)22.15% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 61.41% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.55% (0.104 0.1)36.45% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.41% (0.113 0.11)58.59% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.22% (0.065999999999988 0.07)12.78% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.92% (0.137 0.14)39.08% (-0.139 -0.14)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)65.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 56.72%
    West Ham United 22.15%
    Draw 21.13%
Newcastle UnitedDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.09% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 56.72%
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.61% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 22.15%

How you voted: Newcastle vs West Ham

Newcastle United
69.2%
Draw
20.4%
West Ham United
10.4%
201
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
West Ham
2-2
Newcastle
Soucek (8'), Kudus (89')
Palmieri (16'), Antonio (35'), Paqueta (70')
Isak (57', 62')
Guimaraes (16'), Almiron (67'), Longstaff (79')
Apr 5, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
West Ham
1-5
Newcastle
Zouma (40')
Wilson (6', 46'), Joelinton (13', 90'), Isak (82')
Feb 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Newcastle
1-1
West Ham
Wilson (3')
Paqueta (32')
Feb 19, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 26
West Ham
1-1
Newcastle
Dawson (32')
Fredericks (21'), Fornals (90'), Bowen (90+5')
Willock (45+1')
Krafth (31'), Fraser (75'), Burn (90+5')
Aug 15, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 1
Newcastle
2-4
West Ham
Wilson (5'), Murphy (40')
Shelvey (51')
Cresswell (18'), Benrahma (53'), Soucek (63'), Antonio (66')