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Premier League | Gameweek 25
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Bournemouth logo

Newcastle
2 - 2
Bournemouth

Gordon (58' pen.), Ritchie (90+2')
Schar (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Solanke (51'), Semenyo (69')
Christie (44'), Senesi (52'), Zabarnyi (62')

The Match

Match Report

Matt Ritchie scores a 92nd-minute equaliser as Newcastle United draw 2-2 with Bournemouth in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 56.42%. A win for Bournemouth has a probability of 23.31% and a draw has a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Bournemouth win is 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.47%).

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
56.42% (1.982 1.98)20.27% (-0.474 -0.47)23.31% (-1.499 -1.5)
Both teams to score 66.33% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.24% (0.663 0.66)30.76% (-0.654 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.9% (0.783 0.78)52.1% (-0.775 -0.77)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.96% (0.756 0.76)11.04% (-0.749 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.63% (1.632 1.63)35.37% (-1.622 -1.62)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (-0.726 -0.73)25.44% (0.736 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (-1.01 -1.01)60.26% (1.02 1.02)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 56.42%
    Bournemouth 23.31%
    Draw 20.27%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.224 0.22)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.163 0.16)
1-0 @ 6.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.01% (0.265 0.27)
3-2 @ 4.69% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.78% (0.232 0.23)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.224 0.22)
4-2 @ 2.59% (0.107 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.67% (0.149 0.15)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.132 0.13)
4-3 @ 1.18% (0.025 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.14% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 56.42%
1-1 @ 8.47% (-0.233 -0.23)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-0 @ 2.81% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 2.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 20.27%
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-1 @ 3.84% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 23.31%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

Newcastle United
74.7%
Draw
14.4%
Bournemouth
11.0%
146
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Bournemouth
2-0
Newcastle
Solanke (60', 73')
Cook (57'), Senesi (86')

Lascelles (85')
Feb 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Bournemouth
1-1
Newcastle
Senesi (30')
Almiron (45+2')
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
Round of 16
Newcastle
1-0
Bournemouth
Smith (67' og.)
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Newcastle
1-1
Bournemouth
Isak (67' pen.)
Billing (62')
Jul 1, 2020 6pm