Premier League Gameweek 23
Newcastle
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
4
4
HT : 2 2
FT St. James' Park
Luton
  • Sean Longstaff 7' goal
  • Sean Longstaff 23' goal
  • Dan Burn 56' yellowcard
  • Kieran Trippier 67' goal
  • Harvey Barnes 73' goal
  • Jacob Murphy 76' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Osho 21'
  • goal Ross Barkley 40'
  • goal Carlton Morris 59'
  • yellowcard Albert Sambi Lokonga 60'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 62'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Osho 90'

Newcastle United vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2024 8.15pm
Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Luton 4 - 0 Brighton
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Elijah Adebayo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 52.91% ▼ (-1.09)
Draw 22.87% ▲ (+0.45)
Luton Town 24.21% ▲ (+0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.93% ▼ (-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.75% ▼ (-1.35)
Under 2.5 42.25% ▲ (+1.36)
Over 3.5 35.35% ▼ (-1.37)
Under 3.5 64.65% ▲ (+1.37)
Over 4.5 18.52% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 4.5 81.47% ▲ (+1.04)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 84.02% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 0.5 15.98% ▲ (+0.85)
Over 1.5 54.71% ▼ (-1.58)
Under 1.5 45.29% ▲ (+1.58)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.94% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 31.05% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 1.5 32.63% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 67.37% ▲ (+0.24)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 52.92%
Draw 22.87%
Luton Town 24.21%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.29)
2-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.14)
4-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 52.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.64% ▲ (+0.29)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.30)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.87%
Luton Town
1-2 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.13)
0-1 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 24.21%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 18
Luton
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Newcastle
  • Andros Townsend 25' goal
  • Ross Barkley 56' yellowcard
  • Teden Mengi 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Hall 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 90'+8'
FA Cup
Newcastle
Jan 6, 2018 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Luton
  • Ayoze Perez 30' goal
  • Ayoze Perez 36' goal
  • Jonjo Shelvey 39' goal
  • Paul Dummett 59' yellowcard
  • Jonjo Shelvey 62' yellowcard
  • Isaac Hayden 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 29'
  • goal Danny Hylton 49'

Form Data

Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle
Fulham 0 - 2 Newcastle
Newcastle 2 - 3 Man City
Sunderland 0 - 3 Newcastle
Liverpool 4 - 2 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 3 Nott'm Forest
Luton 4 - 0 Brighton
Everton 1 - 2 Luton
Bolton 1 - 2 Luton
Burnley 1 - 1 Luton
Luton 0 - 0 Bolton
Luton 2 - 3 Chelsea

Build-up

News