Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Newcastle United in this match.