Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 20

Dec 31, 2023 at 2pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
2 - 1
Arsenal

Jimenez (29'), Reid (59')
Cairney (65'), Bassey (77'), Jimenez (90+2'), Leno (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Saka (5')
Saliba (86')

Reaction

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on December 31, 2023

Mikel Arteta: 'Fulham defeat was our worst game of the season'

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta admits that his side's deserved 2-1 Premier League defeat to London rivals Fulham was their worst performance of the season so far.

Dec 31, 17:16

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Fulham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 West Ham
Thursday, December 28 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Arsenal
32.06% ( 0.33)	23.76% ( 0.37)	44.18% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 61.05% (

-1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.12% (

-1.64)

40.87% (

1.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.74% (

-1.69)

63.25% (

1.69)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.16% (

-0.6)

24.83% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.57% (

-0.84)

59.42% (

0.84)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.21% (

-0.94)

18.78% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.81% (

-1.6)

50.19% (

1.6)

Score Analysis

Fulham 32.06%

Arsenal 44.18%

Draw 23.75%

Fulham	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.06%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.44% Total : 44.18%