Champions League
PSV
Dec 12, 2023 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Philips Stadion
Arsenal
  • Yorbe Vertessen 50' goal
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 42'

PSV Eindhoven vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

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Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 29, 2023 5.45pm
Sevilla 2 - 3 PSV

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 29, 2023 8.00pm
Arsenal 6 - 0 Lens

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

PSV Eindhoven 49.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 21.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Arsenal 28.3% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.53% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 66% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 34% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 44.14% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 55.86% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 25.56% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 4.5 74.44% ▼ (-0.10)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 85.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 14.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 58.32% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 41.68% ▼ (-0.07)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 76.27% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 23.74% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 42.13% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 57.87% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 49.81%
Draw 21.9%
Arsenal 28.3%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 49.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.9%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 28.3%

Head to Head

Champions League
Arsenal
Sep 20, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Emirates Stadium
PSV
  • Bukayo Saka 8' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 20' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 38' goal
  • Ben White 42' yellowcard
  • Martin Odegaard 70' goal
  • yellowcard Olivier Boscagli 48'
  • yellowcard Malik Tillman 80'
  • yellowcard Jerdy Schouten 87'
Europa League
PSV
Oct 27, 2022 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Joey Veerman 56' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 63' goal
Europa League
Arsenal
Oct 20, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
PSV
  • Granit Xhaka 71' goal

Form Data

PSV 2 - 0 Heerenveen
Feyenoord 1 - 2 PSV
Sevilla 2 - 3 PSV
FC Twente 0 - 3 PSV
PSV 0 - 2 Schalke
PSV 4 - 0 PEC Zwolle
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Arsenal
Luton 3 - 4 Arsenal
Arsenal 2 - 1 Wolves
Arsenal 6 - 0 Lens
Brentford 0 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 3 - 1 Burnley

Build-up

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