Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 12, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
1 - 1
Arsenal

Vertessen (50')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nketiah (42')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: PSV 2-0 Heerenveen
Thursday, December 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arsenal

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, December 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Arsenal
49.81% ( -0)	21.9% ( -0.02)	28.3% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 65.53% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66% (

0.1)

34% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.14% (

0.11)

55.86% (

-0.11)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.92% (

0.04)

14.08% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.32% (

0.07)

41.68% (

-0.06)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.27% (

0.07)

23.74% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.13% (

0.1)

57.87% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 49.81%

Arsenal 28.3%

Draw 21.9%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 49.81%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.9%	1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.3%