Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 12, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
1 - 1
Arsenal

Vertessen (50')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nketiah (42')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

Last Game: PSV 4-3 Heracles
Saturday, December 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Next Game: PSV vs. GVVV
Tuesday, December 16 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

Arsenal

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, December 13 at 8pm in Premier League

Next Game: Everton vs. Arsenal
Saturday, December 20 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Arsenal
49.81% ( -0)	21.9% ( -0.02)	28.3% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 65.53% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66% (

0.1)

34% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.14% (

0.11)

55.86% (

-0.11)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.92% (

0.04)

14.08% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.32% (

0.07)

41.68% (

-0.06)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.27% (

0.07)

23.74% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.13% (

0.1)

57.87% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 49.81%

Arsenal 28.3%

Draw 21.9%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 49.81%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.9%	1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.3%