Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
4 - 0
PSV

Saka (8'), Trossard (20'), Jesus (38'), Odegaard (70')
White (42')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Boscagli (48'), Tillman (80'), Schouten (87')

Reaction

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on August 21, 2023

Mikel Arteta hails "beautiful night" as Arsenal crush PSV Eindhoven

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta praises his players for creating a "beautiful night" as they mark their return to the Champions League with a 4-0 drubbing of PSV Eindhoven.

Sep 21, 06:16

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Last Game: Everton 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, September 17 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: PSV 4-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
38.56% ( 0.03)	24.44% ( 0.03)	37% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 59.82% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57% (

-0.15)

43% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.6% (

-0.15)

65.4% (

0.14)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.74% (

-0.05)

22.26% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.3% (

-0.07)

55.7% (

0.07)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.94% (

-0.1)

23.05% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.11% (

-0.15)

56.88% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 38.56%

PSV Eindhoven 37%

Draw 24.43%

Arsenal	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.56%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 37%