Champions League
Sep 20, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Bukayo Saka 8' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 20' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 38' goal
  • Ben White 42' yellowcard
  • Martin Odegaard 70' goal
  • yellowcard Olivier Boscagli 48'
  • yellowcard Malik Tillman 80'
  • yellowcard Jerdy Schouten 87'

Arsenal vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Arsenal 38.56% (+0.04)
Draw 24.44% (+0.04)
PSV Eindhoven 37% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.82% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 57% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 43% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 34.6% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 65.4% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 17.97% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 82.03% (+0.11)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 77.74% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 22.26% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 44.3% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 55.7% (+0.08)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 76.94% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 23.05% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 43.11% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 56.88% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Arsenal 38.56%
Draw 24.43%
PSV Eindhoven 37%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 8.5% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.79% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.13% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.43%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.53% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.52% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 37%

Head to Head

Europa League
Oct 27, 2022 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joey Veerman 56' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 63' goal
Europa League
Oct 20, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Granit Xhaka 71' goal

Build-up

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