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Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
PSV

RKC Waalwijk
0 - 4
PSV

FT(HT: 0-1)
Veerman (44'), Lang (53'), de Jong (64'), Tillman (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, August 26 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 5-1 Rangers
Wednesday, August 30 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawPSV Eindhoven
14.17% (0.232 0.23)18.9% (0.427 0.43)66.93% (-0.654 -0.65)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.897 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.26% (-1.48 -1.48)39.74% (1.483 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.91% (-1.554 -1.55)62.09% (1.559 1.56)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.68% (-0.614 -0.61)40.32% (0.619 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.06% (-0.563 -0.56)76.94% (0.568 0.57)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.02% (-0.57899999999999 -0.58)10.98% (0.582 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.76% (-1.296 -1.3)35.23% (1.3 1.3)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 14.17%
    PSV Eindhoven 66.93%
    Draw 18.9%
RKC WaalwijkDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 4.04% (0.048 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.02% (0.207 0.21)
2-0 @ 1.83% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 14.17%
1-1 @ 8.88% (0.251 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.299 0.3)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.9%
0-2 @ 10.8% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 9.81% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.435 0.44)
0-3 @ 7.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.23% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-4 @ 4.39% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-4 @ 3.99% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-5 @ 1.94% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.81% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-5 @ 1.76% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 66.93%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs PSV

RKC Waalwijk
3.0%
Draw
0.0%
PSV Eindhoven
97.0%
33
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 24
RKC Waalwijk
0-1
PSV
Bakayoko (35')
Sep 11, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 6
PSV
1-0
RKC Waalwijk
Gakpo (90+5' pen.)
Apr 10, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 26
PSV
2-0
RKC Waalwijk
Veerman (38'), Teze (69')
Ramalho (44'), Vinicius (72'), Boscagli (75')

Kramer (45'), Gaari (51'), Adewoye (90+2')
Dec 19, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 16
RKC Waalwijk
1-4
PSV
Odgaard (79')
Meulensteen (51')
Vertessen (34', 72'), Gakpo (52' pen.), Mwene (60')
Jan 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 18
PSV
2-0
RKC Waalwijk
Zahavi (45+1'), Rosario (73')
Gutierrez (70')