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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 14.17% ( | 18.9% ( | 66.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.26% ( | 39.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.91% ( | 62.09% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.68% ( | 40.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.06% ( | 76.94% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.02% ( | 10.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.76% ( | 35.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 4.04% ( 1-0 @ 4.02% ( 2-0 @ 1.83% ( 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 3-1 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 14.17% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.9% | 0-2 @ 10.8% ( 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0-3 @ 7.95% ( 1-3 @ 7.23% ( 0-4 @ 4.39% ( 1-4 @ 3.99% ( 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0-5 @ 1.94% ( 2-4 @ 1.81% ( 1-5 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 4.18% Total : 66.93% |