Eredivisie | Gameweek 1

Aug 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
2 - 0
Utrecht

Lang (45+3'), Vertessen (77')
Ramalho (48'), Teze (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

van der Hoorn (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 4-1 Sturm Graz
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in Champions League

Goals
for

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 0-1 Utrecht (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, June 4 at 5pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	FC Utrecht
65.55% ( 0.17)	18.4% ( 0.13)	16.05% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 59.99% (

-1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.82% (

-1.31)

33.17% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.07% (

-1.52)

54.92% (

1.52)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.5% (

-0.32)

9.49% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.15% (

-0.76)

31.85% (

0.76)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29% (

-1.19)

33.71% (

1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63% (

-1.32)

70.36% (

1.31)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 65.55%

FC Utrecht 16.05%

Draw 18.4%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.7% Total : 65.55%	1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.4%	1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.71% Total : 16.05%