Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.