Club Friendlies 1
Jul 30, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Ibrahim Sangare 30' yellowcard
  • Johan Bakayoko 66' goal

PSV Eindhoven vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 26, 2023 7.00pm
PSV 3 - 1 FC Eindhoven

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 27, 2023 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest 0 - 2 Leeds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 74.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 10.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result

PSV Eindhoven 74.68% (+1.03)
Draw 15.12% (-0.51)
Nottingham Forest 10.2% (-0.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.29% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.05% (+0.91)
Under 2.5 31.95% (-0.91)
Over 3.5 46.5% (+1.06)
Under 3.5 53.5% (-1.06)
Over 4.5 27.59% (+0.92)
Under 4.5 72.4% (-0.92)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 92.77% (+0.42)
Under 0.5 7.22% (-0.42)
Over 1.5 73.79% (+1.09)
Under 1.5 26.21% (-1.09)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 58.51% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 41.48% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 22.01% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 77.99% (+0.28)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 74.67%
Draw 15.12%
Nottingham Forest 10.2%
PSV Eindhoven
2-0 @ 10.34% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 9.06% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 7.97% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 7.88% (-0.22)
4-0 @ 5.95% (+0.23)
4-1 @ 5.24% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.13% (+0.19)
5-1 @ 2.75% (+0.14)
4-2 @ 2.3% (+0.05)
6-0 @ 1.37% (+0.11)
5-2 @ 1.21% (+0.06)
6-1 @ 1.21% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 74.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.93% (-0.26)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.12%
Nottingham Forest
1-2 @ 3.05% (-0.14)
0-1 @ 2.64% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.16% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 10.2%