Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 74.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 10.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.