Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 74.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 10.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Nottingham Forest
74.68% ( 1.03)	15.12% ( -0.5)	10.2% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 54.29% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.05% (

0.91)

31.95% (

-0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.5% (

1.05)

53.5% (

-1.05)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.77% (

0.42)

7.22% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.79% (

1.08)

26.21% (

-1.08)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.51% (

-0.31)

41.48% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.01% (

-0.28)

77.99% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 74.67%

Nottingham Forest 10.2%

Draw 15.12%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Nottingham Forest
2-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.18) 5-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.64% Total : 74.67%	1-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.12%	1-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.18% Total : 10.2%