Premier League Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Will Hughes 66' goal
  • goal Taiwo Awoniyi 31'

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Last game
May 20, 2023 3.00pm
Fulham 2 - 2 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Eberechi Eze

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 0 Arsenal
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Taiwo Awoniyi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Crystal Palace 52.94% (-0.09)
Draw 25.18% (+0.04)
Nottingham Forest 21.88% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.86% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.79% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 54.2% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 24.39% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 75.61% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 10.97% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 89.02% (+0.04)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5 79.52% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 20.47% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 47.05% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 52.94% (+0.10)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 60.18% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 39.82% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 23.51% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 76.48% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Crystal Palace 52.93%
Draw 25.17%
Nottingham Forest 21.88%
Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 12.92%
2-0 @ 10.25% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 52.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.15% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.17%
Nottingham Forest
0-1 @ 7.51% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.48% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33%
0-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 21.88%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 54' goal
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 19, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Albert Adomah 32' goal
Championship
Dec 29, 2012 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Greg Halford 32' yellowcard
  • Andy Reid 45' goal
  • Billy Sharp 54' yellowcard
  • Billy Sharp 90' goal
  • Dan Harding 90' yellowcard
  • goal Glenn Murray 9'
  • yellowcard Mile Jedinak 59'
  • goal Glenn Murray 81'
Championship
Sep 18, 2012 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kagisho Dikgacoi 50' goal
  • Glenn Murray 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Greg Halford 39'
  • yellowcard Adlene Guedioura 56'
  • redcard Adlene Guedioura 63'
  • yellowcard Dexter Blackstock 75'
  • goal Dexter Blackstock 81'
Championship
Mar 31, 2012 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Wilfried Zaha 74' yellowcard
  • Pat McCarthy 75' yellowcard
  • goal Radoslaw Majewski 53'
  • goal Radoslaw Majewski 72'
  • goal Radoslaw Majewski 82'
Championship
Dec 10, 2011 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Greg Cunningham 55' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Greening 55' yellowcard
  • Guy Moussi 71' yellowcard
  • Dexter Blackstock 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mile Jedinak 37'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Zaha 55'
  • goal Glenn Murray 56'
  • yellowcard Glenn Murray 69'