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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 80.27%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 6.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 80.27% ( | 12.75% ( | 6.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.27% ( | 31.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.75% ( | 53.24% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.89% ( | 6.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.83% ( | 23.17% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.46% ( | 48.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.38% ( | 83.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-0 @ 11.58% ( 3-0 @ 10.79% ( 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 3-1 @ 7.8% ( 4-0 @ 7.55% ( 4-1 @ 5.46% ( 5-0 @ 4.22% ( 5-1 @ 3.05% ( 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 6-0 @ 1.97% ( 6-1 @ 1.42% ( 5-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.87% Total : 80.26% | 1-1 @ 5.99% ( 2-2 @ 3.03% ( 0-0 @ 2.96% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 12.75% | 1-2 @ 2.16% ( 0-1 @ 2.14% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 6.98% |