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NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Apr 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Goffertstadion
PSV

Nijmegen
2 - 4
PSV

Tannane (59', 87')
FT(HT: 0-3)
de Jong (7', 50'), Boscagli (21'), Veerman (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-1 PSV
Sunday, March 19 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
NECDrawPSV Eindhoven
25.35%22.05% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 62.13% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)37.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (0.0020000000000095 0)27.47% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03%62.97% (0.0040000000000049 0)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.67% (0.0019999999999953 0)14.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)42.17% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    NEC 25.35%
    PSV Eindhoven 52.59%
    Draw 22.05%
NECDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.38%
1-0 @ 5.09%
2-0 @ 3.29%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 25.35%
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.05%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-1 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 7.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.81%
2-3 @ 4.02%
1-4 @ 3.02%
0-4 @ 2.34%
2-4 @ 1.95%
1-5 @ 1.17%
0-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 52.59%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs PSV

NEC
25.9%
Draw
3.7%
PSV Eindhoven
70.4%
27
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 1.30pm
PSV
3-0
Nijmegen
El Ghazi (18'), De Jong (50' pen.), Madueke (84')

Schone (38')
May 11, 2022 7pm
PSV
3-2
Nijmegen
Doan (26'), Gutierrez (36'), Zahavi (61')
Duelund (66'), Okita (72' pen.)
Dec 12, 2021 7pm
Nijmegen
1-2
PSV
Mattsson (8')
Schone (68'), Proper (90+6')
Vertessen (80'), Vinicius (90')
Vinicius (90+2')
Feb 18, 2017 6.45pm
PSV
3-1
Nijmegen
Van Ginkel (20' pen.), Ramselaar (56'), De Jong (94')
van Ginkel (22')
Messaoud (30')
Bikel (20')
Sep 10, 2016 6.45pm
Nijmegen
0-4
PSV

Dumic (16')
Ramselaar (4'), Pereiro (10'), Brenet (20'), De Jong (24')
rhs 2.0


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