Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Nijmegen
Apr 1, 2023 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 3
FT
PSV
  • Oussama Tannane 59' goal
  • Oussama Tannane 87' goal
  • goal Luuk de Jong 7'
  • goal Olivier Boscagli 21'
  • goal Joey Veerman 39'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 50'

NEC vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 8.00pm
RKC Waalwijk 1 - 3 Nijmegen
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Landry Dimata

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Mar 19, 2023 3.45pm
Vitesse 1 - 1 PSV
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Xavi Simons

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result

NEC 25.35%
Draw 22.05% ▲ (+0.01)
PSV Eindhoven 52.59% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.13% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 37.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 40.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 59.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 22.56%
Under 4.5 77.44% ▲ (+0.01)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5 72.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 27.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 37.03%
Under 1.5 62.97% ▲ (+0.01)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 85.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 14.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 57.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 42.17% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

NEC 25.35%
Draw 22.05%
PSV Eindhoven 52.59%
NEC
2-1 @ 6.38%
1-0 @ 5.09%
2-0 @ 3.29%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 25.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.05%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-1 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.81%
2-3 @ 4.02%
1-4 @ 3.02%
0-4 @ 2.34%
2-4 @ 1.95%
1-5 @ 1.17%
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 52.59%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 12
PSV
Oct 30, 2022 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Nijmegen
  • Anwar El Ghazi 18' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 50' goal
  • Noni Madueke 84' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
PSV
May 11, 2022 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Nijmegen
  • Ritsu Doan 26' goal
  • Erick Gutierrez 36' goal
  • Eran Zahavi 61' goal
  • goal Mikkel Duelund 66'
  • goal Jonathan Okita 72'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Nijmegen
Dec 12, 2021 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
PSV
  • Magnus Mattsson 8' goal
  • Lasse Schone 68' yellowcard
  • Dirk Proper 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Yorbe Vertessen 80'
  • goal Carlos Vinicius 90'
  • yellowcard Carlos Vinicius 90'+2'
Eredivisie
PSV
Feb 18, 2017 6.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Nijmegen
  • Marco van Ginkel 20' goal
  • Marco van Ginkel 22' yellowcard
  • Bart Ramselaar 56' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 94' goal
  • yellowcard Janio Bikel 20'
  • goal Ali Messaoud 30'
Eredivisie
Nijmegen
Sep 10, 2016 6.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT
PSV
  • Dario Dumic 16' yellowcard
  • goal Bart Ramselaar 4'
  • goal Gaston Pereiro 10'
  • goal Joshua Brenet 20'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 24'
Eredivisie
Nijmegen
Feb 14, 2016 3.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
PSV
  • Marcel Ritzmaier 2' yellowcard
  • Todd Kane 11' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 16'
  • goal Jurgen Locadia 67'
  • goal Marco van Ginkel 75'

Form Data

RKC Waalwijk 1 - 3 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 2 - 2 Utrecht
Ajax 1 - 0 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 3 - 0 Volendam
Excelsior 0 - 3 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 0 - 0 Cambuur
Vitesse 1 - 1 PSV
PSV 5 - 2 Cambuur
RKC Waalwijk 0 - 1 PSV
PSV 3 - 1 ADO Den Haag
PSV 3 - 1 FC Twente
PSV 2 - 0 Sevilla