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Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
NEC

RKC Waalwijk
1 - 3
Nijmegen

Anita (61')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Tannane (18', 31'), Tavsan (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-1 PSV
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

NEC

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-2 Utrecht
Sunday, March 12 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for NEC had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawNEC
49.77% (0.067 0.07)23.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.81% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.7% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.57% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)42.42% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.17% (-0.073 -0.07)64.83% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)17.18% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)29.11% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.96% (-0.111 -0.11)65.04% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 49.77%
    NEC 26.81%
    Draw 23.42%
RKC WaalwijkDrawNEC
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.56% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 26.81%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Nijmegen

RKC Waalwijk
45.5%
Draw
22.7%
NEC
31.8%
22
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 11.15am
Nijmegen
6-1
RKC Waalwijk
Dimata (38' pen.), Elkarouani (50'), Mattsson (73'), Marques (78', 90+2'), Tavsan (88')
Van den Buijs (4' pen.)
Bel Hassani (11')
Feb 19, 2022 3.30pm
Nijmegen
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Okita (88')
Odenthal (79'), Schone (90+1')
Van der Venne (18')
Buttner (71'), Touba (90+1'), Gaari (90+3')
Dec 5, 2021 11.15am
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Nijmegen
Odgaard (28'), Kuijpers (90+3')
Augustijns (54'), Adewoye (62'), Azhil (90')
Bruijn (16')
Marquez (47'), Odenthal (65'), Verdonk (84')
May 14, 2019 5.30pm
First Round
RKC Waalwijk
3-0
Nijmegen
Seys (41'), Spierings (62'), Bilate (70')
Tahiri (63')

Dijkstra (65'), Okita (85')
May 10, 2019 5.30pm
First Round
Nijmegen
2-0
RKC Waalwijk
Tresor Ndayishimiye (12'), Bruijn (16')
Bossaerts (21'), Wolters (67')

Walian (87'), Spierings (91')