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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for NEC had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NEC |
| 47.11% ( | 24.27% ( | 28.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( | 44.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% ( | 67.33% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.79% ( | 19.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.09% ( | 50.91% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( | 29.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% ( | 65.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.11% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 28.63% |