Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Feb 4, 2023 at 8pm UK

Excelsior
0 - 0
RKC Waalwijk

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 1-4 Ajax
Sunday, January 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 3-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Wednesday, February 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
37.28% ( 0.32)	26.25% ( -0.19)	36.46% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 53.38% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.74% (

0.78)

51.25% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.91% (

0.68)

73.09% (

-0.68)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3% (

0.55)

26.7% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.04% (

0.72)

61.96% (

-0.72)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.83% (

0.29)

27.17% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.42% (

0.38)

62.58% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 37.28%

RKC Waalwijk 36.46%

Draw 26.25%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.28%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.46%