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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
51.8% ( 0.19) | 24.58% ( 0.18) | 23.61% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.78% ( -1.05) | 50.21% ( 1.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.83% ( -0.94) | 72.17% ( 0.94) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.63% ( -0.33) | 19.36% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.84% ( -0.55) | 51.16% ( 0.55) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.07% ( -0.9) | 35.92% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.29% ( -0.94) | 72.7% ( 0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.97% Total : 51.8% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
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