/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
-
Redouan El Yaakoubi
36'
-
Dusan Tadic
15'
-
Davy Klaassen
45'
-
Mohammed Kudus
61'
-
Devyne Rensch
83'
SBV Excelsior vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 74.94%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 10.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.72%) and 1-3 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
SBV Excelsior
10.65%
▼
(-0.44)
Draw
14.41%
▼
(-0.17)
Ajax
74.94%
▲
(+0.61)
Both Teams to Score:
59.47%
▼
(-1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
73.38%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 2.5
26.62%
▲
(+0.51)
Over 3.5
52.99%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 3.5
47.01%
▲
(+0.65)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5
63.26%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 0.5
36.74%
▲
(+1.12)
Over 1.5
26.47%
▼
(-1.14)
Under 1.5
73.53%
▲
(+1.14)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
94.01%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
5.99%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
77.15%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
22.85%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
SBV Excelsior
10.65%
Draw
14.41%
Ajax
74.94%
SBV Excelsior
2-1
@
3.11%
▼
(-0.10)
1-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 10.65%
1-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 10.65%
Draw
1-1
@
6.2%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.14)
0-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 14.41%
2-2 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.14)
0-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 14.41%
Ajax
1-2
@
8.73%
▲
(+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.27)
1-3 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.25)
0-1 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.20)
1-4 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.13)
1-5 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.10)
2-4 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.09)
2-5 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.06)
1-6 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-6 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 5.24%
Total : 74.94%
0-2 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.27)
1-3 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.25)
0-1 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.20)
1-4 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.13)
1-5 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.10)
2-4 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.09)
2-5 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.06)
1-6 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-6 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 5.24%
Total : 74.94%
Head to Head
Eredivisie
Gameweek
30
-
Noussair Mazraoui
4'
-
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar
10'
-
Dusan Tadic
37'
-
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar
40'
-
Dusan Tadic
60'
-
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar
65'
-
Kasper Dolberg
75'
-
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
84'
-
Jeffry Fortes
32'
-
Mounir El Hamdaoui
42'
-
Ryan Koolwijk
43'
-
Mounir El Hamdaoui
49'
-
Jeffry Fortes
89'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
12
-
Jeffry Fortes
25'
-
Dogucan Haspolat
25'
-
Herve Matthys
43'
-
Ali Messaoud
52'
-
Donny van de Beek
31'
-
Lasse Schone
44'
-
Donny van de Beek
48'
-
Kasper Dolberg
58'
-
Jerdy Schouten
71'
(OG)
-
Hakim Ziyech
79'
-
David Neres
87'