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Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 5, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
PSV

RKC Waalwijk
0 - 1
PSV

FT(HT: 0-1)
Bakayoko (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-4 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.64%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 0-1 (7.45%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawPSV Eindhoven
22.4% (-0.152 -0.15)20.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)56.64% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 62.4% (-0.255 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.69% (-0.238 -0.24)35.31% (0.233 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.66% (-0.264 -0.26)57.33% (0.26 0.26)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-0.262 -0.26)28.73% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-0.325 -0.33)64.56% (0.321 0.32)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.56% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)12.44% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.64% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)38.36% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 22.4%
    PSV Eindhoven 56.64%
    Draw 20.96%
RKC WaalwijkDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.79% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.46% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.41% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 22.4%
1-1 @ 9.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.57% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.96%
1-2 @ 9.68% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.76% (0.071 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 6.73% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 5.39% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.81% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.17% (0.006 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 56.64%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs PSV

RKC Waalwijk
32.0%
Draw
4.0%
PSV Eindhoven
64.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 1.30pm
PSV
1-0
RKC Waalwijk
Gakpo (90+5' pen.)

Gaari (23')
Apr 10, 2022 1.30pm
PSV
2-0
RKC Waalwijk
Veerman (38'), Teze (69')
Ramalho (44'), Vinicius (72'), Boscagli (75')

Kramer (45'), Gaari (51'), Adewoye (90+2')
Dec 19, 2021 3.45pm
RKC Waalwijk
1-4
PSV
Odgaard (79')
Meulensteen (51')
Vertessen (34', 72'), Gakpo (52' pen.), Mwene (60')
Jan 23, 2021 7pm
Dec 19, 2020 7pm
RKC Waalwijk
1-4
PSV
Stokkers (86')
Ngonge (63')
Gakpo (11'), Ihattaren (14'), Dumfries (71' pen.), Madueke (90+4')
Schmidt (43'), Max (59'), Rosario (78')