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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.64%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 0-1 (7.45%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 22.4% ( | 20.96% ( | 56.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.69% ( | 35.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.66% ( | 57.33% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( | 28.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% ( | 64.56% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.56% ( | 12.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.64% ( | 38.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 5.79% ( 1-0 @ 4.46% ( 2-0 @ 2.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 3-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 22.4% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.96% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 1-3 @ 6.73% ( 0-3 @ 5.39% ( 2-3 @ 4.2% ( 1-4 @ 3.51% ( 0-4 @ 2.81% ( 2-4 @ 2.19% ( 1-5 @ 1.46% ( 0-5 @ 1.17% ( 2-5 @ 0.91% ( 3-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 56.64% |