Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 3-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.