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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 75.76%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 9.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | FC Volendam |
75.76% ( 0.04) | 14.58% ( -0.01) | 9.66% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.33% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.13% ( -0.03) | 30.87% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.77% ( -0.04) | 52.23% ( 0.04) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.23% ( 0) | 6.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75% ( 0) | 25% ( -0) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.28% ( -0.08) | 41.72% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.81% ( -0.07) | 78.19% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 8.03% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.31% 5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.95% Total : 75.75% | 1-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.82% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.58% | 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 9.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
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