Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 75.76%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 9.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.