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Mohammed Kudus
70'
FC Twente vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.89%) and 0-1 (7.61%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
FC Twente
22.25%
▲
(+0.65)
Draw
21.04%
▲
(+0.30)
Ajax
56.72%
▼
(-0.94)
Both Teams to Score:
61.9%
▼
(-0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.13%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 2.5
35.87%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 3.5
42.04%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 3.5
57.96%
▲
(+0.64)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
70.83%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 0.5
29.17%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 1.5
34.89%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 1.5
65.12%
▼
(-0.28)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
87.4%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 0.5
12.6%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 1.5
61.3%
▼
(-0.94)
Under 1.5
38.7%
▲
(+0.95)
Score analysis
FC Twente
22.25%
Draw
21.04%
Ajax
56.72%
FC Twente
2-1
@
5.78%
▲
(+0.14)
1-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 22.25%
1-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 22.25%
Draw
1-1
@
9.38%
▲
(+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.04%
2-2 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.04%
Ajax
1-2
@
9.72%
▲
(+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.13)
0-4 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.12)
2-4 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.07)
1-5 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.08)
0-5 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 56.72%
0-2 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.13)
0-4 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.12)
2-4 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.07)
1-5 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.08)
0-5 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 56.72%
