Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Feb 5, 2023 at 11.15am UK

Cambuur Stadion

Cambuur
0 - 5
Ajax

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tadic (16'), Berghuis (36', 64'), Brobbey (79', 90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Cambuur and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambuur

All competitions

Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 Sittard
Sunday, January 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Excelsior 1-4 Ajax
Sunday, January 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 13.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Cambuur win it was 2-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Cambuur	Draw	Ajax
13.56% ( -0.06)	17.76% ( 0.11)	68.68% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 55.6% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.28% (

-0.69)

35.71% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.22% (

-0.76)

57.78% (

0.76)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.4% (

-0.54)

38.59% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.66% (

-0.52)

75.34% (

0.51)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.55% (

-0.19)

9.45% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.26% (

-0.46)

31.74% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Cambuur 13.56%

Ajax 68.67%

Draw 17.76%

Cambuur	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 13.56%	1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.76%	0-2 @ 10.14% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 7.98% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 4.71% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.48% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.4% Total : 68.67%