Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.