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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Cambuur |
| 40.06% ( | 24.69% ( | 35.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.62% ( | 44.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.25% ( | 66.75% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( | 22.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.51% ( | 55.49% ( |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( | 24.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.85% ( | 59.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 1-0 @ 8.22% ( 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.06% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 2-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.25% |