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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 54.6% ( | 22.9% ( | 22.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.8% ( | 44.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.42% ( | 66.58% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( | 16.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.5% ( | 45.5% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( | 33.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.75% ( | 70.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 5-1 @ 1% ( 5-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 54.6% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 22.51% |