Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Feyenoord in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.