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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 57.36% | 21.75% | 20.88% |
| Both teams to score 57.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.95% | 41.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.56% | 63.43% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% | 14.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.28% | 41.72% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% | 33.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.04% | 69.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 6.47% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-2 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 3.17% 4-0 @ 2.89% 4-2 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.15% Total : 57.36% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 5.44% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.75% | 1-2 @ 5.56% 0-1 @ 5.16% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.26% Total : 20.88% |