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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-0 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambuur | Draw | Heerenveen |
21.6% ( -0.08) | 24.09% ( -0.04) | 54.31% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 50.68% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.72% ( 0.08) | 50.27% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.77% ( 0.07) | 72.22% ( -0.07) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.12% ( -0.03) | 37.87% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.35% ( -0.03) | 74.65% ( 0.03) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.58% ( 0.08) | 18.41% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.43% ( 0.13) | 49.57% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Cambuur | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 21.6% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |