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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 83.42%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 5.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.56%) and 4-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.23%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Cambuur |
| 83.42% ( | 11.1% ( | 5.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.11% ( | 29.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.94% ( | 51.06% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.82% ( | 5.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.49% ( | 20.51% ( |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.37% ( | 51.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.24% ( | 85.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-0 @ 11.71% ( 3-0 @ 11.56% ( 4-0 @ 8.56% ( 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 3-1 @ 7.65% ( 4-1 @ 5.66% ( 5-0 @ 5.07% ( 5-1 @ 3.35% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 6-0 @ 2.5% ( 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 6-1 @ 1.65% ( 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 7-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.48% Total : 83.41% | 1-1 @ 5.23% ( 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 2-2 @ 2.56% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 11.1% | 0-1 @ 1.77% ( 1-2 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 5.47% |