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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 83.42%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 5.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.56%) and 4-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.23%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Cambuur |
83.42% ( 0.1) | 11.1% ( -0.02) | 5.47% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 45.86% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.11% ( -0.34) | 29.89% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.94% ( -0.41) | 51.06% ( 0.41) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.82% ( -0.05) | 5.18% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.49% ( -0.14) | 20.51% ( 0.13) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.37% ( -0.56) | 51.63% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.24% ( -0.38) | 85.76% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Cambuur |
2-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 83.41% | 1-1 @ 5.23% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.63% Total : 11.1% | 0-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 5.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
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