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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 50.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cambuur | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
24.4% ( 0.22) | 25.17% ( 0.17) | 50.43% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 50.73% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.13% ( -0.48) | 51.87% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% ( -0.42) | 73.62% ( 0.42) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.87% ( -0.07) | 36.13% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.09% ( -0.07) | 72.91% ( 0.07) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% ( -0.35) | 20.57% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.89% ( -0.56) | 53.1% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Cambuur | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 24.4% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 50.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |