Eredivisie | Gameweek 23

Feb 25, 2023 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
2 - 1
Cambuur

Pavlidis (40'), Goes (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Johnsen (85' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-1 AZ
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambuur

All competitions

Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, February 19 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 72.37%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 11.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Cambuur
72.37% ( -0.1)	16.61% ( 0.06)	11.02% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.49% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.05% (

-0.16)

36.95% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.86% (

-0.17)

59.13% (

0.17)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.08% (

-0.06)

8.92% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.53% (

-0.15)

30.47% (

0.15)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.53% (

-0.04)

43.47% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.31% (

-0.03)

79.69% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 72.36%

Cambuur 11.02%

Draw 16.61%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Cambuur
2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 72.36%	1-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 16.61%	1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 11.02%