Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.