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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Emmen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
61.8% ( 0.32) | 21.45% ( 0.01) | 16.75% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 50.69% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.92% ( -0.6) | 46.08% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.62% ( -0.57) | 68.38% ( 0.57) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.63% ( -0.1) | 14.37% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.75% ( -0.18) | 42.25% ( 0.18) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.2% ( -0.77) | 40.8% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.62% ( -0.7) | 77.37% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Emmen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 61.79% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.44% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.88% Total : 16.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |